FuturesExaminer.com Newsletter for 2006-Jun
Our Mission: to promote understanding of Trading Systems for Commodities & Forex by (1) tracking net results for many systems; (2) providing unbiased descriptive material; and (3) providing INTERACTIVE tools to compare systems & design portfolios. And it's free!
Results for 2006-May are now available on Futures Examiner.

May Summary
During May the S&P 500 index (miniSP) dropped about 3.5%, and it was a mixed month for the systems that we track, with eight systems making a profit (compared with over 10 last month). In the one-month Top Gainers table (actual results, including commissions and cost of system), the average one-month profit was 12% of conservative account size (8% last month). Bear in mind that these gains are for the TOP-performing systems that we track. Axiom Index and Impetus took the top three spots, with over 20% gain. These systems were both developed by Lincoln Fiske of Trading Visions. The other top gainers were RC Success, Venus, Delphi, and Compass.
Promising New System
This month we began tracking Daily Fuel Matrix, a swing trader developed by Joey Autry, that trades Crude Oil, Heating Oil, and Unleaded Gas. This is a simplified version of the earlier Fuel Matrix system that did well about a year ago. Our results are obtained from Collective2.com, which simulates trading results based on buy and sell signals sent by the system developer in real time. These results are hypothetical, but they are generated in real time rather than by backtesting. Collective2 components are identified on Futures Examiner as "HypC2" to distinguish them from regular hypothetical components.
Chart of the Month
The new Daily Fuel Matrix trading system was mentioned above, and we tracked the original system until about a year ago. Results for the original version are still available in our "*All OutOfDate Actuals & Hypotheticals" basket, so we thought it might be interesting to show both on the same chart. To accomplish this, we used the "Basket Design" page to create a new basket that contained both the old and new systems, and then launched a multichart with the desired components. The resulting chart is shown below. If you cannot see the chart, please paste the following link into your browser: www.futuresexaminer.com/newsletters/n200606a.png .
   Data for the original system is on the left, with long horizontal plots for the most recent 13 months where there is no data. Data for the new system is on the right, and although there are only 4 months of results at present, the plots look (to me) fairly similar. We would be interested in your comments on this chart!
 

Note to Developers
We have recently added a Notices from Developers section to our Home page. If you have any notices that you would like to include here, please send them to us. These could include new systems, new versions of existing systems, recommendations regarding your systems, etc.
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Caution: Commodity trading involves substantial risk of LOSS, and is not appropriate for everyone. Do not trade with funds you can not afford to LOSE!!
ACTUAL results should be viewed with caution, because PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.
ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.